B.C.'s leaders debate tomorrow. Here's what's actually at stake.

British Columbia's party leaders meet Wednesday for the only televised debate of the province's compressed election campaign — 6:15 to 8 p.m. PT, moderated by Angus Reid Institute president Shachi Kurl. NDP Leader David Eby, Conservative interim leader Lorne Doerkson and Green Leader Emily Lowan will take the stage, 10 days before the Oct. 24 vote.

The polls are tight. An Angus Reid survey (Oct. 1–3) put the Conservatives at 48 per cent, the NDP at 43 and the Greens at 7; a Mainstreet poll (Oct. 6) had the Conservatives at 44.7, the NDP at 37.2 and the Greens at 11.2. Advance voting runs Oct. 16–21.

Expect two flashpoints. Eby has proposed a new tax bracket on incomes over $1 million — the Conservatives say it would drive doctors out of the province, while the Greens argue for wealth-based taxes instead. And the NDP has accused the Conservatives of planning "U.S.-style" health care, a charge the Conservatives call fearmongering. The leaders of OneBC and CentreBC are excluded from the debate, prompting a petition to invite all five leaders.

With a single mass-audience moment in a short campaign, Wednesday night is each leader's best — and maybe last — chance to move the numbers before advance polls open.